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News
Small Bets Can Swing Election Prediction Markets
4+ day, 20+ hour ago (132+ words) “Prediction markets are everywhere ahead of November’s midterm election, and manipulating their election contracts can be achieved with be a small investment,” CNBC reports. “New research from the Anti-Corruption Data Collective found that moving most campaign-related prediction markets costs less…...
Rural Voters May Decide Whether 2026 Is a Wave Election
5+ day, 10+ hour ago (170+ words) Amy Walter: “How will we know if 2026 is a wave election in the House? To me, the real sign of a wave year won’t be how many seats Republicans lose, but rather the types of seats that change hands.” Filed…...
Primary Season Draws to a Close
1+ week, 4+ day ago (91+ words) Washington Post: “Only three states still have primary elections pending before the crucial midterm elections to determine which party controls Congress during the last two years of President Donald Trump’s term.” “New Hampshire and Rhode Island hold elections next week,…...
Kalshi Suspends GOP Candidate for Betting On Her Race
1+ week, 6+ day ago (78+ words) “Online prediction market Kalshi suspended a Republican House candidate Monday after it found that she was wagering on her own race,” the Washington Post reports. “The candidate, Laurie Buckhout, is running in a district in northeastern North Carolina, a swing…...
Republicans Use ‘Weird’ Attack Line Against Democrats
2+ week, 20+ hour ago (134+ words) “This time around, Republicans want voters to think of Democrats as the weird ones,” NBC News reports. “The GOP is reviving an attack line popularized in 2024 by Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, the Democratic vice presidential nominee, who took to calling…...
Election Deniers Are Vying for Office Nationwide
2+ week, 6+ day ago (306+ words) “Election deniers are back on the ballot,” The Guardian reports. “In most swing states, at least one major Republican candidate has questioned or outright denied the results of the 2020 U.S. presidential election, which Donald Trump lost to Joe Biden....
Why Polling Chaos Could Create Big Problems for Politics
3+ week, 2+ day ago (187+ words) New York Times: “Polls are traditionally used to measure public opinion, not mold it. But this year, several Democratic campaigns have seized on unreliable polls to push the perception that their candidates are surging to try to solidify support, attract…...
Democrats Test Their Party in Florida
3+ week, 2+ day ago (180+ words) New York Times: “The progressive maverick Angie Nixon’s upset win in the Democratic Senate primary this week jolted Florida politics, reshaping the dynamics of what had appeared to be a predictable race into one fraught with uncertainty — and, perhaps, opportunity....
Three Months and Counting
3+ week, 3+ day ago (373+ words) Just for members: The latest Inside Elections. This issue includes the fallout from a host of competitive primaries in Florida, updates on dozens of House, Senate, and governor races around the country, and new rating changes in 8 House districts as…...
Florida's Senate Seat Looks Safe for Republicans
3+ week, 4+ day ago (274+ words) Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball shifted the Florida Senate race to “safely Republican” following an unexpected Tuesday win for a democratic socialist in the primary. Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent…...